System Selections 27-28/9/2008 and 30/9/2008 (Results)

First of all, an apology: it's been a hectic week and I didn't have much time to update the blog with the system's results last weekend or with the midweek selections/results. I know that the millions (ahem ...) of visitors were massively disappointed but unfortunately things happen!

Let's start with last weekends dreadful performance. I am absolutely speechless! The less said the better I guess... Although having the benefit of hindsight, the midweek results were much better so on average it wasn't too bad. Anyway, here are the results for the 27-28/9/2008 weekend matches.

Moving swiftly along, there were midweek matches and although this may sound as after-eventing (which as I've been told means that someone argues that s/he has bet on an event and won after this event took place) but these were the results of the system's picks:

[For the non-believers, the picks can be verified at my relevant Punters Lounge thread aptly named Statistical Football Prediction Model 2008.] Well, a much better midweek set of selections eats away some of the losses and leaves the system hanging in the balance:

An updated list of selections will be uploaded by this evening. Here's hoping for a return to the positive side by the end of this weekend... But then again, maybe I shouldn't be tempting fate!

System Selections 27-28/9/2008

Better late than never! Last night, I couldn't put the predictions up so you'll have to take my word for it that the system highlighted Southend to win... Anyway, with a couple of hour to go before the first match, here are the weekend's picks...

Once again good luck to anyone following the picks! An update will follow on Monday!

System Selections 20-21/9/2008 (Results)

After a few very short posts, I have now some more time on my hands. First of all, the previous weekend saw the system registering a small loss with some very mixed results. A couple of real longshots came in (Liverpool drew at home to Stoke and Blackpool beat Birmingham away) but overall quite a few draws ate up a bit of the profit.

The system currently shows a 3.8% yield out of a total of 182 bets so far. The strike rate is at 35.7% while the average strike odds are 2.91.

One could argue that after 182 bets, the system is doing pretty well, but on the one hand the number of bets each weekend (around 25-30 bets) and on the other hand the size of the strike odds mean that additional bets are needed before confidently assessing the performance of the system. Furthermore, a reasonable way of assessing this performance is not imminently evident and a number of indices can be used. But, more on this will come on a later date. In the meantime, if you have any suggestions feel free to add your comments!